Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alston Mason * | 39 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| James Graham III * | 37 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Donovan Clay * | 37 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Damien Mayo Jr. * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Chance Moore | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Dalen Ridgnal | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Perry * | 38 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| JaCobi Wood * | 37 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Brian Moore Jr. * | 32 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Jamari Smith * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| DJ Burns * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Kenny White Jr. | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Justin Morgan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Quincy Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter