Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance Moore * | 42 | 5-15 | 2-10 | 5-9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo * | 40 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Dalen Ridgnal * | 37 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Donovan Clay * | 36 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kendle Moore * | 16 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Alston Mason | 27 | 2-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Bryan Trimble Jr. | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Raphe Ayres | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N.J. Benson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Damien Mayo Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Poindexter * | 42 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Luke Kasubke * | 40 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Darius Burford * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Seneca Knight | 36 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 12-13 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Colton Sandage | 26 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Liam McChesney | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alex Kotov | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter