Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.7% | 27.3% | -5.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -8 (61-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Poindexter * | 34 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Darius Burford * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Liam McChesney * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Luke Kasubke * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Seneca Knight | 30 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko | 16 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Colton Sandage | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Joe Petrakis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alex Kotov | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Coleman * | 40 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Strawbridge * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 5-11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Gage Bobe * | 34 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Antoine Smith Jr. * | 30 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Yacine Toumi * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Preston Phillips | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Chris Moncrief | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter