Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +23 (85-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Coleman * | 39 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Yacine Toumi * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kenny Strawbridge * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Gage Bobe * | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Sekou Kalle * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Antoine Smith Jr. | 24 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Gabe Spinelli | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Chris Moncrief | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Preston Phillips | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Clay * | 37 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Dalen Ridgnal * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo * | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Raphe Ayres * | 23 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Damien Mayo Jr. * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Chance Moore | 29 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Kendle Moore | 19 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N.J. Benson | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Alston Mason | 12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter