Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -6 (60-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowen Born | 38 | 7-13 | 5-7 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Trey Campbell | 35 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tytan Anderson | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Michael Duax | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Cole Henry | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ege Peksari | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| James Betz | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Drew Daniel | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Landon Wolf | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Lewis | 30 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Liam McChesney | 30 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter | 27 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Seneca Knight | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Luke Kasubke | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Colton Sandage | 22 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Darius Burford | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Petrakis | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alex Kotov | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jayden Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter