Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | UIC Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.2% | 47.8% | -0.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UIC Flames +4 (55-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Burford | 31 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter | 29 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Kendall Lewis | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Luke Kasubke | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Seneca Knight | 21 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jayden Johnson | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Liam McChesney | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Alex Kotov | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Nik Stadelman | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Petrakis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jace Carter | 37 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Toby Okani | 35 | 8-10 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Filip Skobalj | 31 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Trevante Anderson | 31 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| CJ Jones | 30 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Jackson | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Cameron Fens | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Steven Clay | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter