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2022-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 56.8% 43.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 60.0% 40.0% - ✓
Margin 62.5% 37.5% -2.8 ✓ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% - ✓
Efficiency 68.2% 31.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 75.3% 24.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 75.7% 24.3% - ✓

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cameron Henry 37 7-16 0-1 1-2 12 8 3 0 0 15 22 -
Trenton Gibson 30 3-6 0-2 3-3 4 4 1 1 2 9 11 -
Jayson Kent 29 4-6 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 10 7 -
Courvoisier McCauley 27 5-13 3-8 3-4 4 0 2 0 3 16 6 -
Robbie Avila 22 6-9 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 12 7 -
Julian Larry 18 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 3 1 0 0 3 5 -
Zach Hobbs 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Kailex Stephens 11 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 1 2 3 4 -
Xavier Bledson 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Cade McKnight 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Domask 37 7-14 0-2 2-2 4 4 0 1 5 16 6 -
Xavier Johnson 30 6-9 1-2 0-2 3 4 1 1 4 13 9 -
Lance Jones 28 3-14 2-8 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 8 1 -
Jawaun Newton 24 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 2 1 9 7 -
Trent Brown 22 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
Foster Wonders 20 4-6 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 11 8 -
Troy D'Amico 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 3 7 -
Dalton Banks 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
AJ Ferguson 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 -
Clarence Rupert 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -

* = starter