Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seneca Knight * | 44 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 43 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter * | 40 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Darius Burford * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Liam McChesney * | 28 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Luke Kasubke | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Colton Sandage | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joe Petrakis | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaCobi Wood * | 45 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Rob Perry * | 40 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| DJ Burns * | 37 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Jamari Smith * | 35 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Kenny White Jr. * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Quincy Anderson | 17 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Brian Moore Jr. | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Morgan | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter