Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.4% | 27.6% | -5.3 | ✓ (21.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -27 (53-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Jones | 29 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Marcus Domask | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Foster Wonders | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Dalton Banks | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Cade Hornecker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Johnson * | 27 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Trent Brown * | 25 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Troy D'Amico * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jawaun Newton | 24 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Clarence Rupert | 18 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| AJ Ferguson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chris Cross | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Smith Jr. | 24 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Logan McIntire | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Gage Bobe * | 29 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kenny Strawbridge * | 28 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Marvin Coleman * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Yacine Toumi * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Sekou Kalle * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Antoine Smith Jr. | 24 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Gabe Spinelli | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Preston Phillips | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Blaise Beauchamp | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Moncrief | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter