Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | +4.1 | ✓ (19.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +24 (75-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lenard Jr. * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| E. Lawrence * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Camryn Weston * | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Dishman * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Millin * | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. King | 28 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jestin Porter | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| T. Smith | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Coleman-Jones | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Christian Fussell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tre Green | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Clay * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Alston Mason * | 32 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Bryan Trimble Jr. * | 25 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Kendle Moore * | 18 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chance Moore | 23 | 8-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Damien Mayo Jr. | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dalen Ridgnal | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Dawson Carper | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N.J. Benson | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Raphe Ayres | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Graham III | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter