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2022-12-18

Model Predictions

Model William & Mary Tribe UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 71.1% 28.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 52.6% 47.4% - ✗
Margin 47.0% 53.0% +0.7 ✓ (15.3 off)
Efficiency 17.4% 82.6% - ✓

Actual: UMBC Retrievers +16 (78-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

William & Mary Tribe

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Noah Collier 35 6-10 0-0 2-5 14 1 0 1 2 14 18 -
A. Nelson 35 4-10 2-5 0-0 3 5 1 0 4 10 5 -
Gabe Dorsey 31 4-10 3-7 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 13 6 -
C. Mullins 25 1-7 0-3 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 4 0 -
Ben Wight 21 2-6 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 1 0 5 5 -
Chase Lowe 21 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 6 8 -
Matteus Case 21 4-10 1-4 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 10 3 -
Jack Karasinski 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Milkereit 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Craig Beaudion 32 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 4 7 -
Colton Lawrence 32 6-10 1-4 1-1 3 2 0 1 1 14 9 -
Yaw Obeng-Mensah 24 4-8 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 8 5 -
Jarvis Doles 22 3-10 0-2 2-3 5 0 1 0 1 8 3 -
Dion Brown 18 6-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 12 8 -
Tra'Von Fagan 18 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 4 9 -
Mason Docks 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter