Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +10.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Miller | 35 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Isaiah Burke | 34 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Kameron Hobbs | 33 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Khalil Turner | 25 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Will Thomas | 22 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Lewis Djonkam | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Ty Horner | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rob Lawson | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Collin Nnamene | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Toto Fagbenle | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kevon Wiggins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Lawrence | 26 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Craig Beaudion | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Yaw Obeng-Mensah | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Mason Docks | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jarvis Doles | 17 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tra'Von Fagan | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Dion Brown | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Devan Sapp | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| JC Harris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anyang Garang | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Regimantas Ciunys | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter