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2022-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 90.5% 9.5% -
Bradley-Terry 67.0% 33.0% -
Margin 77.4% 22.6% -6.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 60.9% 39.1% -
Efficiency 92.9% 7.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.6% 16.4% -
Log Adjusted 84.1% 15.9% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -10 (56-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mark 31 3-7 1-2 1-1 3 1 0 1 4 8 2 -
J. Shead * 35 5-12 2-4 1-2 2 4 4 0 0 13 11 -
J. Roberts * 33 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 2 6 -
M. Sasser * 28 5-13 3-9 3-3 2 0 3 0 2 16 6 -
J. Walker * 23 4-9 2-2 0-0 6 3 2 1 0 10 13 -
T. Arceneaux 19 6-11 3-5 0-1 5 1 3 0 0 15 13 -
R. Chaney 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Francis 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Walker Jr. 7 0-0 0-0 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Barthelemy 16 1-6 0-4 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 -
W. Richardson * 40 5-9 1-3 2-2 5 2 0 0 7 13 4 -
N. Dante * 35 6-8 0-0 4-4 11 4 2 3 0 16 28 -
Q. Guerrier * 32 2-11 1-7 7-9 0 0 0 0 4 12 -3 -
N. Bittle * 19 3-6 1-2 0-2 3 0 0 2 3 7 3 -
K. Barthelemy * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 2 7 -
R. Soares 30 2-8 0-5 0-0 7 2 1 1 1 4 6 -
K. Ware 20 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
T. Williams 8 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter