Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✓ (23.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +27 (79-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Thelwell | 29 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jake Wolfe | 28 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Mark Freeman | 27 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Kalil Thomas | 26 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Trent Scott | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Alex Gross | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Hawkins | 17 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| LJ Bryan | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Branden Maughmer | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Reis Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Cole | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tucson Redding | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Walker Jr. | 29 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jalyn McCreary | 26 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Luis Hurtado | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kamar Robertson | 25 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Jah Quinones | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Michael Zanoni | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Jones | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| David Craig | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| James Glisson III | 14 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| TJ Grant | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Braden Sparks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Harrison Drake | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Diego Rivera | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Treanor | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter