Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Smith | 37 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Deantoni Gordon | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Jefferson | 32 | 10-12 | 5-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 27 | - |
| Ethan Speaker | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Chris Walker | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| CJ White | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Nigel John | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ante Beljan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Isaiah Palermo | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fields | 35 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| O. El-Sheikh | 34 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 3-10 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 24 | - |
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 33 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Avery Felts | 31 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Julian Lual | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Davis | 22 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Reeves | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter