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2022-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 11.3% 88.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 27.4% 72.6% - ✓
Margin 11.2% 88.8% +11.4 ✓ (4.4 off)
Efficiency 79.5% 20.5% - ✗

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +7 (68-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kobe Clark 38 2-9 1-4 3-6 16 4 2 2 2 8 21 -
Aquan Smart 31 2-5 0-1 1-3 3 1 0 0 2 5 2 -
Adam Larson 27 5-8 5-8 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 19 13 -
Phillip Russell 26 3-8 1-4 6-6 2 2 0 0 4 13 5 -
Chris Harris 23 4-7 1-3 1-2 0 3 0 0 1 10 5 -
Dylan Branson 19 1-5 0-3 0-1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -4 -
Nate Johnson 17 0-2 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
Josh Earley 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -3 -
Tevin Gowins 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Fields 35 4-12 0-2 6-9 6 6 2 0 3 14 13 -
Avery Felts 34 4-8 3-5 2-2 3 0 2 0 1 13 9 -
O. El-Sheikh 33 2-8 0-0 5-7 14 1 2 0 0 9 18 -
Terrance Ford Jr. 31 2-8 0-2 2-2 4 1 4 0 1 6 6 -
M. Davis 22 3-6 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
Izaiyah Nelson 20 4-4 0-0 5-11 9 0 0 2 2 13 18 -
Julian Lual 19 2-6 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 5 0 -
D. Reeves 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter