Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia Southern Eagles | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +4 (58-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia Southern Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Finch | 36 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Tai Strickland | 35 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Andrei Savrasov | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tyren Moore | 25 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Carlos Curry | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Kaden Archie | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Nate Brafford | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Johnny McFatten | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Derrick Harris Jr. | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Sellers | 38 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Demarius Jacobs | 35 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Jarron Coleman | 33 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Mickey Pearson Jr. | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Basheer Jihad | 24 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Payton Sparks | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Luke Bumbalough | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Windham | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Darian Owens-White | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter