Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +5 (106-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Cone | 38 | 18-27 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 45 | 21 | - |
| Nik Mains | 35 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Trenton McLaughlin | 29 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Xavier Fuller | 29 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Carson Towt | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Oakland Fort | 17 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Jack Wistrcill | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Liam Lloyd | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Ezekiel Richards | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Keith Haymon | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jones | 43 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 15-18 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 24 | - |
| H. Butler | 41 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Drake Allen | 30 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| M. Fausett | 30 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Spurgin | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Dut | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Barnes | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Parsa Fallah | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Healy | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Williams | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter