Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | +0.3 | ✗ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -3 (83-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Battle * | 36 | 10-18 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 15 | - |
| D. Brown II * | 34 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| S. Lecholat * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Patterson * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Belo * | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| G. Osobor | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| C. Fuller | 19 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| P. McMahon | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Gazelas | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Ford III | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Anderson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Butler * | 37 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| M. Fausett * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Jones * | 31 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| J. Spurgin * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| C. Healy | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Barnes | 15 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Dut | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter