Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Gibson | 34 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Chendall Weaver | 32 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| M. Humphrey | 32 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| S. Wilson | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Walker | 22 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| A. Cash | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Dario Domingos | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Taj Anderson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Castro | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Young Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandyn Talbot | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Harrell | 32 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nighael Ceaser | 30 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Davion Sykes | 27 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Drue Drinnon | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Nate Martin | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Davis | 20 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dylan Dawson | 12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Love | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Davion Coleman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter