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2022-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 21.1% 78.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 12.1% 87.9% - ✓
Margin 2.8% 97.2% +19.4 ✓ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 32.5% 67.5% - ✓
Efficiency 36.1% 63.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 10.4% 89.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 10.2% 89.8% - ✓

Actual: Oregon Ducks +22 (78-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wood 34 3-11 0-6 2-2 3 2 1 0 4 8 -1 -
T. Robertson 33 6-14 1-5 0-1 3 1 2 0 4 13 1 -
Alden Applewhite 31 2-9 0-3 8-12 7 7 1 0 2 12 16 -
K. Sjolund 20 4-7 3-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 11 7 -
Juanse Gorosito 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 2 -2 -
J. Perry 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
W. Lowell 14 2-3 1-2 1-5 5 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
V. Vucinic 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Chika Nduka 11 1-2 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Richardson 39 4-11 1-4 3-4 3 12 3 0 4 12 15 -
Brennan Rigsby 30 4-7 4-6 2-2 6 3 2 0 2 14 16 -
N. Dante 25 3-7 0-0 1-3 5 4 2 1 2 7 10 -
Lok Wur 24 2-3 1-1 4-6 5 0 0 0 0 9 11 -
R. Soares 24 5-7 4-5 2-2 3 1 1 0 5 16 9 -
T. Williams 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
Q. Guerrier 18 2-6 1-4 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 5 -1 -
K. Ware 15 2-3 1-2 2-4 5 1 1 2 2 7 11 -
Gabe Reichle 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Parris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
James Cooper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter