Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +17.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +20 (66-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Clay | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kendle Moore | 28 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Bryan Trimble Jr. | 23 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chance Moore | 23 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Dawson Carper | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Alston Mason | 22 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| James Graham III | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Damien Mayo Jr. | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dalen Ridgnal | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| N.J. Benson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Raphe Ayres | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Saxen | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| A. Mahaney | 34 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| A. Ducas | 30 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Bowen | 30 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| L. Johnson | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Marciulionis | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Howell | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Barrett | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| H. Wessels | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Joshua Jefferson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter