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2022-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Idaho Vandals Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 12.3% 87.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 20.8% 79.2% - โœ—
Margin 15.1% 84.9% +9.5 โœ— (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 34.0% 66.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 14.6% 85.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 13.7% 86.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 30.7% 69.3% - โœ—

Actual: Pacific Tigers -3 (81-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Jones * 38 11-14 0-2 9-12 7 1 1 0 0 31 26 -
R. Smith * 34 0-7 0-4 2-3 3 3 2 0 2 2 1 -
Y. Salih * 29 3-8 2-7 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 8 4 -
D. Moffitt * 28 9-13 0-1 2-2 3 4 0 0 2 20 12 -
Terren Frank * 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 3 5 -
T. Smith 32 1-6 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
Nigel Burris 30 7-9 4-6 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 18 14 -

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Williams * 36 4-10 0-2 11-12 5 1 0 0 2 19 13 -
Tyler Beard * 34 4-10 3-4 3-5 4 6 1 0 3 14 12 -
Jordan Ivy-Curry * 26 4-9 1-1 2-3 0 1 0 0 1 11 2 -
Luke Avdalovic * 23 4-8 3-5 2-3 1 1 1 0 0 13 8 -
Sam Freeman * 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Cam Denson 21 5-8 0-1 0-0 9 2 0 1 0 10 14 -
Nicquel Blake 18 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 6 5 -
Judson Martindale 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
Greg Outlaw 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
Makai Richards 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Moe Odum 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter