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2023-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
ELO 53.4% 46.6% -
Bradley-Terry 53.9% 46.1% -
Margin 93.8% 6.2% -14.9 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -4 (52-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
Player #4432864 34 2-7 2-5 2-6 12 8 2 1 8 22
K. Brown 29 2-4 - - 5 1 1 3 4 4 6
R. Richardson 27 4-6 1-2 - 1 3 9 1
E. Balogun 25 5-9 2-2 - 4 2 2 2 1 12 12
V. de Jesus 20 1-3 1-2 - 1 2 5 3 -2
S. Day-Wilson 20 2-9 -2 - 2 1 2 4 -4
T. Corosdale 16 4-7 2-3 - 1 1 1 10 4
J. Oliver 11 3-5 - -3 3 1 1 6 6
M. Heide 10 - - - 1 1 2
A. Jackson 8 -2 -2 - 2 0

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
M. Dale 33 3-8 1-3 3-3 5 1 2 3 10 13
K. Lawson 31 2-13 2-8 - 7 3 4 1 5 6 3
T. Valladay 30 8-13 -1 3-4 1 2 3 1 2 19 11
Y. Vaughn 28 1-1 1-1 - 2 2 1 3 7
A. Smith 28 -3 - 2-2 2 2 1 1 2 3
Player #4595150 25 3-12 - 2-2 8 2 2 8 4
L. Clarkson 24 2-5 - - 4 1 1 3 4 2
C. Pauley 1 -1 -1 - -1

* = starter