Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.8% | 6.2% | -14.9 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -4 (52-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Taylor | 34 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-6 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | - |
| K. Brown | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| R. Richardson | 27 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| E. Balogun | 25 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| V. de Jesus | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -2 | - |
| S. Day-Wilson | 20 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| T. Corosdale | 16 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Oliver | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Heide | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Jackson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dale | 33 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| K. Lawson | 31 | 2-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Valladay | 30 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Y. Vaughn | 28 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| A. Smith | 28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Taylor | 25 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| L. Clarkson | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Pauley | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter