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2023-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 12.8% 87.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% - โœ“
Margin 35.5% 64.5% +3.3 โœ“ (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 35.9% 64.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +16 (61-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Taylor 28 5-12 0-1 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 12 3 -
T. Corosdale 25 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 5 2 0 8 -
Shayeann Day-Wilson 23 1-6 0-1 2-2 1 3 2 0 3 4 1 -
K. Brown 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 2 4 -
M. Heide 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 1 0 3 -
Reigan Richardson 19 0-5 0-1 1-2 0 2 0 0 2 1 -4 -
Jordyn Oliver 18 3-4 0-0 1-3 1 0 0 0 2 7 2 -
Vanessa de Jesus 17 3-8 0-1 2-2 3 1 3 0 1 8 6 -
E. Balogun 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 1 1 3 4 -
Ashlon Jackson 15 2-5 2-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 4 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Kitley 38 8-18 0-0 4-7 11 1 2 4 0 20 20 -
Georgia Amoore 38 8-18 4-8 0-0 4 1 2 0 4 20 5 -
T. Soule 34 3-7 0-0 5-7 8 1 3 1 0 11 17 -
K. Traylor 31 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 5 1 0 1 4 8 -
C. King 31 1-2 1-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 3 6 -
D. Gregg 22 1-5 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 4 3 1 -
A. Owusu 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Geiman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter