Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 86.8% | 13.2% | -10.3 | ✗ (22.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +12 (71-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rivers | 32 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Johnson | 31 | 1-12 | 0-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Brown-Turner | 26 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Boyd | 25 | 9-19 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | - |
| A. James | 25 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Collins | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Hobby | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Baldwin | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Hayes | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Valladay | 34 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 8-12 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 23 | - |
| L. Clarkson | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Y. Vaughn | 32 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Lawson | 32 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| A. Smith | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Taylor | 22 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| M. Dale | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Pauley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter