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2023-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 36.9% 63.1% -
Bradley-Terry 30.7% 69.3% -
Margin 5.5% 94.5% +15.6 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +25 (87-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Valladay 26 6-15 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 13 1 -
A. Smith 26 2-8 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 4 4 -
C. Taylor 25 6-12 1-1 3-4 4 0 1 0 1 16 8 -
K. Lawson 24 0-6 0-3 2-4 4 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
M. McLean 20 1-9 0-0 1-2 11 0 1 0 2 3 4 -
S. Brunelle 19 4-10 2-6 2-4 4 1 0 0 0 12 7 -
C. Miller 19 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 2 -
L. Clarkson 18 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Y. Vaughn 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 4 3 -
M. Dale 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Pauley 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Johnson 30 4-7 1-4 1-1 4 3 0 0 2 10 8 -
J. Brown-Turner 25 4-7 1-3 0-0 8 2 0 1 3 9 10 -
M. Hayes 23 3-5 1-2 2-5 4 0 0 7 0 9 15 -
M. Collins 22 3-6 1-2 5-6 3 1 0 0 2 12 8 -
S. Rivers 21 3-7 1-2 0-2 7 3 1 0 0 7 11 -
R. Baldwin 19 3-5 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 1 3 10 8 -
C. Hobby 18 5-8 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 2 1 12 10 -
A. James 18 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 5 7 -
J. Boyd 16 4-4 1-1 4-4 2 1 0 1 2 13 11 -
J. Timmons 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter