Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +25 (87-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Valladay | 26 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | - |
| A. Smith | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Taylor | 25 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| K. Lawson | 24 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. McLean | 20 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Brunelle | 19 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Miller | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| L. Clarkson | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Y. Vaughn | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Dale | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Pauley | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson | 30 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Brown-Turner | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| M. Hayes | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| M. Collins | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| S. Rivers | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| R. Baldwin | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Hobby | 18 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| A. James | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Boyd | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Timmons | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter