Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers -8 (61-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Sprouse | 35 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Elijah Stephens | 34 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Matt Rogers | 28 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Lincoln Ball | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jaxon Knotek | 24 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Johnny O'Neil | 24 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Lorenzo Donadio | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine Ballisager-Webb | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deandre Thomas | 36 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| George Tinsley | 31 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Xavier Lipscomb | 27 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Malik Jefferson | 25 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Dakota Leffew | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jaylin Gibson | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jedy Cordilia | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Frantisek Barton | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Benjamin | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dola Adebayo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Gielen | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter