Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.7 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +8 (55-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Smith Jr. | 18 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Yacine Toumi * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Strawbridge * | 25 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Marvin Coleman * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Sekou Kalle * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Gage Bobe * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Blaise Beauchamp | 33 | 5-16 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1 | - |
| Preston Phillips | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Antoine Smith Jr. | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Gabe Spinelli | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Nutall * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Samuell Williamson * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Zhuric Phelps * | 31 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Efe Odigie * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Stefan Todorovic * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Smith | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
| Ricardo Wright | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mo Njie | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jefferson Koulibaly | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Foster | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Emory Lanier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter