Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +20.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +20 (76-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Smith Jr. | 24 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Logan McIntire | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kenny Strawbridge * | 35 | 8-19 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Marvin Coleman * | 34 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Preston Phillips * | 33 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Gage Bobe * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Yacine Toumi * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Antoine Smith Jr. | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Blaise Beauchamp | 21 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Gabe Spinelli | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chris Moncrief | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Hendricks * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Jayhlon Young * | 27 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| C.J. Kelly * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lahat Thioune * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ithiel Horton * | 23 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Suggs | 22 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Thierno Sylla | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Darius Johnson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Tyem Freeman | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Poohpha Warakulnukroh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter