Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Ellis * | 37 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| M. James * | 37 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| JJ Traynor * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Huntley-Hatfield * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Withers * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| F. Basili | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Lands | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Curry | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Wheeler | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Ree | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Z. Payne | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Myles-Devore | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Beekman * | 36 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| K. Clark * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 28 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| B. Vander Plas * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Dunn | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| I. McKneely | 18 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Murray | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. How | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Coleman | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter