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NC State Wolfpack 67
@
Duke Blue Devils 71
2023-02-28

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 11.3% 88.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 26.2% 73.8% - ✓
Margin 15.8% 84.2% +9.2 ✓ (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% - ✓
Efficiency 20.3% 79.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 29.4% 70.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% - ✓

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Joiner * 40 9-18 6-12 2-2 8 1 1 0 1 26 17 -
C. Morsell * 39 0-8 0-5 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 -3 -
DJ Burns Jr. * 31 6-15 0-0 1-1 5 2 1 1 2 13 5 -
T. Smith * 27 2-9 2-5 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 8 4 -
Greg Gantt Jr. * 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jack Clark 25 6-10 0-3 1-1 7 0 1 0 0 13 11 -
Breon Pass 14 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
Ebenezer Dowuona 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
Ernest Ross 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Roach * 37 9-19 0-5 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 20 3 -
Mark Mitchell * 34 3-6 1-3 5-6 5 0 0 0 3 12 8 -
Kyle Filipowski * 32 2-11 0-3 7-9 14 1 1 0 2 11 14 -
Tyrese Proctor * 32 2-8 0-3 8-9 3 1 0 0 2 12 6 -
Dereck Lively II * 29 3-4 0-1 0-0 12 2 0 2 0 6 18 -
Dariq Whitehead 17 2-2 1-1 1-3 2 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
Ryan Young 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 4 10 -
Jacob Grandison 8 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

* = starter