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2023-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 11.9% 88.1% -
Bradley-Terry 15.2% 84.8% -
Margin 7.2% 92.8% +14.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.6% 62.4% -
Efficiency 9.8% 90.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.5% 81.5% -
Log Adjusted 18.4% 81.6% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +16 (81-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Cattoor * 38 2-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 3 6 0 -
S. Pedulla * 34 5-14 2-4 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 12 5 -
J. Mutts * 31 5-11 0-1 1-2 3 2 1 0 2 11 4 -
G. Basile * 30 5-10 2-4 3-3 3 3 0 0 1 15 10 -
MJ Collins * 23 1-4 0-1 0-1 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Rice 22 3-7 3-5 2-3 2 2 2 0 2 11 8 -
L. Kidd 12 1-2 0-0 0-1 4 2 2 0 1 2 7 -
M. Poteat 7 0-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Camden 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
C. Johnson 1 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Roach * 34 8-13 2-4 1-2 5 11 0 0 3 19 19 -
Player #5023693 * 32 4-7 2-5 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 10 10 -
M. Mitchell * 32 6-8 1-1 4-4 8 0 1 1 0 17 19 -
Player #4683688 * 24 6-6 0-0 1-1 7 0 1 3 1 13 17 -
Player #4684793 * 23 3-7 0-2 6-7 3 2 2 0 2 12 10 -
Player #4432735 19 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 0 -
R. Young 15 1-4 0-0 2-3 4 2 0 1 0 4 7 -
J. Grandison 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
K. Catchings 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Schutt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Blakes 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
C. Reeves 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Johns 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter