Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.8% | 17.2% | -8.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leaky Black * | 39 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Pete Nance * | 33 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 33 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Caleb Love * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Puff Johnson | 13 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| D'Marco Dunn | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Seth Trimble | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Nickel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Washington | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cormac Ryan * | 38 | 6-18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Dane Goodwin * | 37 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Nate Laszewski * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| V. Lubin * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Hammond * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| JJ Starling | 19 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Matt Zona | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter