Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +17.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +17 (79-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Ellis * | 36 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Mike James * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jae'lyn Withers * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Huntley-Hatfield * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| JJ Traynor * | 27 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Kamari Lands | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Hercy Miller | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Curry | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Wheeler | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Z. Payne | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devin Ree | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Proctor * | 35 | 4-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Mark Mitchell * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jeremy Roach * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Dereck Lively II * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 23 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Dariq Whitehead | 27 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Young | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Jacob Grandison | 13 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
* = starter