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2023-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 80.7% 19.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 74.4% 25.6% - ✓
Margin 86.5% 13.5% -10.2 ✓ (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 62.7% 37.3% - ✓
Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 88.3% 11.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 88.5% 11.5% - ✓

Actual: Syracuse Orange -22 (55-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Roach * 35 6-10 3-7 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 17 8 -
Kyle Filipowski * 31 5-11 2-3 2-2 11 3 2 0 2 14 17 -
Tyrese Proctor * 30 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 6 1 0 3 8 9 -
Dereck Lively II * 28 3-4 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 3 0 6 17 -
Mark Mitchell * 27 4-8 0-1 0-0 2 5 2 1 0 8 10 -
Dariq Whitehead 19 5-7 4-6 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 14 11 -
Ryan Young 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
Jacob Grandison 10 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Jaden Schutt 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Jaylen Blakes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Christian Reeves 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Max Johns 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Kale Catchings 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jesse Edwards * 37 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 3 1 2 5 9 -
Judah Mintz * 35 7-16 2-2 2-2 0 1 3 0 2 18 4 -
Joseph Girard III * 35 5-9 4-7 7-8 1 1 0 0 2 21 12 -
Maliq Brown * 30 3-7 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 1 3 6 8 -
Chris Bell * 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Justin Taylor 20 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
Benny Williams 14 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Symir Torrence 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Quadir Copeland 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Mounir Hima 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 1 3 -
Niko Ruffin 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
J. Ajak 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter