Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.4% | 38.6% | -2.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -3 (58-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Vander Plas * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 34 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Clark * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 31 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| I. McKneely | 27 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Shedrick | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Dunn | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Ellis * | 39 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| M. James * | 37 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Lands * | 34 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| JJ Traynor * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Withers * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Curry | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| H. Miller | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Huntley-Hatfield | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter