Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.5% | 25.5% | -5.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +7 (69-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Proctor * | 41 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jeremy Roach * | 31 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 30 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Mark Mitchell * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Dereck Lively II * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jacob Grandison | 31 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Young | 28 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Dariq Whitehead | 25 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jaylen Blakes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Beekman * | 41 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| K. Clark * | 37 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 37 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| B. Vander Plas * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 5-11 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Isaac Mckneely | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| R. Dunn | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kadin Shedrick | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter