Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.4% | 35.6% | -3.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +7 (92-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Love * | 36 | 9-25 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 2 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Pete Nance * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 22 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Puff Johnson | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Seth Trimble | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Nickel | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Washington | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D'Marco Dunn | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyree Appleby * | 37 | 6-20 | 0-6 | 23-28 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 33 | - |
| Damari Monsanto * | 33 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Andrew Carr * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Cameron Hildreth * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Davion Bradford * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Bobi Klintman | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Daivien Williamson | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Matthew Marsh | 13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
* = starter