Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -3 (78-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Cleveland * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Caleb Mills * | 32 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Warley * | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Cameron Corhen * | 29 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Darin Green Jr. * | 29 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Chandler Jackson | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Baba Miller | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Naheem McLeod | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tom House | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Ellis * | 38 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Jae'lyn Withers * | 34 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| JJ Traynor * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Mike James * | 26 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| S. Curry * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kamari Lands | 22 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Hercy Miller | 10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Emmanuel Okorafor | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Wheeler | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter