Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.8% | 43.2% | -1.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange -5 (62-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Clark * | 35 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 33 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 33 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| B. Vander Plas * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| I. McKneely | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Shedrick | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Dunn | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brown * | 40 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| J. Edwards * | 39 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Mintz * | 36 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| J. Girard III * | 36 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Bell * | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Taylor | 31 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Torrence | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Hima | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter