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2023-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.1% 82.9% - โœ“
Margin 11.2% 88.8% +11.4 โœ“ (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 34.0% 66.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 8.5% 91.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 15.3% 84.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 15.2% 84.8% - โœ“

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +3 (85-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JJ Starling * 37 7-14 0-2 4-4 7 3 0 0 3 18 11 -
Cormac Ryan * 37 6-8 5-6 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 19 16 -
Marcus Hammond * 37 4-7 0-1 3-5 10 4 0 0 1 11 17 -
Dane Goodwin * 30 4-8 3-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 11 7 -
Nate Laszewski * 19 2-7 1-6 2-4 4 0 0 0 2 7 2 -
V. Lubin 22 4-8 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 2 1 10 8 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith * 39 2-14 2-9 11-13 3 6 3 1 1 17 15 -
J. Joiner * 38 9-18 2-5 8-8 6 1 1 0 1 28 17 -
C. Morsell * 38 4-10 2-6 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 11 5 -
DJ Burns Jr. * 24 7-15 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 14 7 -
Greg Gantt Jr. * 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ernest Ross 16 3-6 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 1 0 6 5 -
Ebenezer Dowuona 15 3-4 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 3 0 7 8 -
Breon Pass 14 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 2 6 -
LJ Thomas 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 5 -

* = starter