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Duke Blue Devils 75
@
Virginia Tech Hokies 78
2023-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 78.7% 21.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 75.8% 24.2% - ✗
Margin 82.2% 17.8% -8.4 ✗ (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% - ✗
Efficiency 84.2% 15.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 75.5% 24.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 75.6% 24.4% - ✗

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Filipowski * 34 9-17 4-8 7-9 10 2 2 1 1 29 26 -
Tyrese Proctor * 32 4-12 2-6 0-0 4 7 1 1 1 10 10 -
Mark Mitchell * 32 3-6 1-2 1-2 1 2 0 1 2 8 4 -
Ryan Young * 27 4-6 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 1 8 11 -
Dariq Whitehead * 17 4-6 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 10 3 -
Jeremy Roach 31 3-9 0-4 0-1 2 3 0 0 0 6 2 -
Dereck Lively II 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Jacob Grandison 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jaylen Blakes 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Cattoor * 40 5-10 5-10 0-1 2 0 2 0 0 15 9 -
S. Pedulla * 39 4-8 3-5 5-5 2 5 2 0 2 16 15 -
G. Basile * 37 10-15 1-2 3-4 8 2 0 2 3 24 18 -
J. Mutts * 30 4-6 0-0 1-5 2 6 1 0 2 9 10 -
L. Kidd * 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 4 5 -
MJ Collins 22 2-4 1-2 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
Mylyjael Poteat 6 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
Darius Maddox 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter