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2023-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 34.4% 65.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 71.3% 28.7% - โœ“
Margin 65.2% 34.8% -3.5 โœ“ (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 84.0% 16.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.0% 4.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 94.8% 5.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 94.8% 5.2% - โœ“

Actual: Louisville Cardinals -21 (54-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Greg Elliott * 37 9-12 5-8 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 23 17 -
Nelly Cummings * 27 1-8 1-6 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 3 2 -
Blake Hinson * 22 2-11 2-7 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 8 0 -
Federiko Federiko * 20 3-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 3 8 4 -
Nike Sibande 22 4-6 4-6 0-0 3 3 0 1 2 12 11 -
Guillermo Diaz Graham 19 2-4 1-2 1-3 8 0 0 1 2 6 9 -
Nate Santos 17 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 5 -
Jorge Diaz Graham 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
El Ellis * 38 6-13 2-6 5-5 2 5 1 0 3 19 11 -
Mike James * 35 1-8 1-4 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 5 -2 -
Jae'lyn Withers * 26 2-6 1-3 3-4 7 0 1 1 1 8 10 -
S. Curry * 23 2-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 4 -3 -
Kamari Lands * 19 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -
JJ Traynor 30 6-9 1-3 1-1 6 1 1 0 1 14 12 -
R. Wheeler 17 1-3 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
Z. Payne 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Devin Ree 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Hercy Miller 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter