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2023-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 9.4% 90.6% -
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% -
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.7 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 43.2% 56.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% -
Log Adjusted 33.5% 66.5% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +8 (77-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Cummings * 33 5-11 2-6 2-2 1 0 1 0 4 14 1 -
G. Elliott * 32 2-6 1-4 4-5 3 1 1 0 0 9 8 -
B. Hinson * 31 3-8 2-5 2-3 3 0 0 1 1 10 5 -
F. Federiko * 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 2 1 4 8 -
N. Sibande 26 4-8 1-4 2-2 6 1 1 0 1 11 10 -
G. Diaz Graham 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 2 1 2 6 -
N. Santos 9 1-4 0-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 3 2 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Filipowski * 35 8-14 1-4 11-13 15 2 1 1 4 28 29 -
M. Mitchell * 35 2-9 0-2 6-6 9 1 1 0 4 10 8 -
D. Whitehead * 31 2-11 2-7 0-0 5 1 0 2 2 6 1 -
T. Proctor * 27 4-9 1-4 5-5 0 5 0 0 0 14 10 -
R. Young * 20 3-6 0-0 1-3 10 0 0 1 2 7 10 -
J. Grandison 21 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 6 5 -
J. Blakes 19 0-5 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 0 -4 -
D. Lively II 12 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 6 5 -

* = starter