Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +3.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Beekman * | 36 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Clark * | 34 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 12 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 30 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kadin Shedrick * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Isaac Mckneely | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Vander Plas | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Dunn | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Hinson * | 37 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Federiko Federiko * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Nelly Cummings * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Greg Elliott * | 20 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Nike Sibande | 26 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Guillermo Diaz Graham | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jorge Diaz Graham | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nate Santos | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter