Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -8 (60-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hugley IV | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Nelly Cummings * | 36 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Greg Elliott * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Blake Hinson * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Federiko Federiko | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Nike Sibande | 23 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jorge Diaz Graham | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nate Santos | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mahorcic | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. Morsell * | 40 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Joiner * | 38 | 0-12 | 0-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -7 | - |
| T. Smith * | 32 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Jack Clark * | 26 | 0-8 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| DJ Burns Jr. | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Greg Gantt Jr. | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| LJ Thomas | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ernest Ross | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter