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2022-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 41.1% 58.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% - ✗
Margin 32.9% 67.1% +3.9 ✗ (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% - ✗
Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 35.5% 64.5% - ✗

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -10 (90-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anton Watson 37 7-13 1-3 2-3 5 2 3 0 0 17 14 -
Drew Timme 36 12-18 0-1 5-8 10 4 0 0 6 29 19 -
Rasir Bolton 34 4-11 1-3 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 11 2 -
Nolan Hickman 28 5-8 1-2 2-2 1 4 2 1 0 13 13 -
Malachi Smith 24 5-6 2-2 0-1 4 0 5 0 1 12 14 -
Julian Strawther 18 5-9 1-4 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 11 3 -
Hunter Sallis 17 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 3 0 0 0 2 4 -
Ben Gregg 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 6 -
Efton Reid 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Miller 37 12-22 6-11 6-6 6 1 1 0 6 36 16 -
Noah Clowney 32 3-4 1-2 2-3 13 0 0 1 3 9 16 -
Jaden Bradley 31 6-12 0-1 6-6 2 4 0 1 2 18 11 -
Mark Sears 30 1-8 1-6 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 5 -2 -
Charles Bediako 26 2-2 0-0 2-5 6 0 0 1 2 6 9 -
Noah Gurley 20 3-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
J. Quinerly 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 3 2 1 -
Rylan Griffen 9 3-5 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Darius Miles 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Nick Pringle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter