Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | +10.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Huntley-Hatfield | 38 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Mike James | 35 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| El Ellis | 35 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 10-11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 9 | - |
| S. Curry | 24 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Kamari Lands | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Jae'lyn Withers | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
| JJ Traynor | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Wheeler | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Hercy Miller | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Devin Ree | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| F. Basili | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Z. Payne | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Joiner | 37 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jack Clark | 37 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| DJ Burns Jr. | 34 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| T. Smith | 33 | 4-14 | 3-6 | 3-7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| C. Morsell | 30 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| LJ Thomas | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ernest Ross | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter