Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -2 (72-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Beard * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Luke Avdalovic * | 29 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Donovan Williams * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Judson Martindale * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sam Freeman * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Ivy-Curry | 28 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Cam Denson | 20 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Nicquel Blake | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Greg Outlaw | 19 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Keylan Boone | 18 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Pepper * | 35 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 6-7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Robby Beasley III * | 31 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Ty Johnson * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 5-10 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Christian Anigwe * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ade Adebayo * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kane Milling | 30 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Leo DeBruhl | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Niko Rocak | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Sione Lose | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter